Published: 1 hour ago

Zimbabwe is expected to receive average to above-average rainfall between October 2025 and March 2026, driven by a forecast weak La Niña, the Famine Early Warning System Network (FEWS NET) has predicted.

The outlook offers hope for improved water and food security after several years of erratic rainfall patterns that severely disrupted crop yields and livestock production.

According to FEWS NET, the rainfall will likely replenish surface and underground water resources, support cropped areas, and foster normal to above-normal crop development. Livestock conditions are also expected to improve, particularly in semi-arid areas of the south, east, west, and far north of the country.

"An anticipated weak La Nina will likely drive average to above average rainfall in Zimbabwe for the start of the October 2025 to March 2026 rainy season. This will likely replenish surface and underground water resources, support cropped areas and favorable crop development at normal to above-normal levels, and enhance agricultural labor activities," FEWS NET said.

However, the forecast also comes with cautionary notes. With the 2024/25 season already bringing above-average rainfall, flood-prone areas face elevated risks of waterlogging and flash floods. Seasonal models also indicate a higher likelihood of tropical cyclones affecting the Southern African region, with eastern Zimbabwe particularly vulnerable.

FEWS NET further warned that above-normal temperatures expected between September and January could have mixed effects. While warmer conditions may stimulate crop growth in the absence of prolonged dry spells, they could also increase the risks of heat and water stress on crops and livestock, reduce the effectiveness of fertilizers and weeding, and heighten the chances of violent thunderstorms.

Authorities and humanitarian partners have been urged to prepare for both the opportunities and challenges the 2025/26 season may bring.
- NewZiana

You might also want to read this

• Met dept predicts heavy rains
• Zimbabwe to get normal rains
• Normal to below normal rains expected this season